Hi Mate,
The truthful answer is: No AD sales person knows. No dealer knows. And no collector knows.
The truth is no one knows.

It is a correlation with world key economies and ours. Especially the US economy since there are so many American Ristis.
In Year 2007 and 2008 up to end of Q3, there was a significant run of Panerai resale prices. Almost bullish, I might say. But what wasn’t bullish then? It was a period of time where so many things in the world had risen month on month, quarter on quarter. In Singapore, even the kopi and tea-O prices were rising to play catch up.
In a rising market, a large percentage of worldwide ristis just simply digged in with their collections, leading to a constricted supply. There was no rocket science to it. Just a natural human tendency. Whatever models... SE…Non SEs… discon.... non discon…there was little rush to sell.
So, the logical progression was a rise in Panerai prices, and other renowned brands.
Just my take on the past Panerai rising prices.
Now, your 233 decision.
If you are thinking of picking up a PAM 233 to have some fun with, the prices for a BNIB or pre-owned piece are quite ok.
There are collectors who like this model, despite the much debate on the “fang” vs. clean and non clean dial… everyone will have always something to say about a model… Do learn about the I series fang issue. You can get that at Paneristi or PuristPro.
It is a 8 days… next wind.. u know one week has passed.. so that is some good winding fun.
If you pick up a pre-owned one at say $12.6K to $13.9K, depending on series and condition… well… I think the prices are ok, assuming you are buying it to have some fun for a while. I just can’t see it trending below $10K. I think a number of us – Sing Ristis – will be duly concerned if it happens….we all have our PAMs rite?
Go for it, strike at the right price, and enjoy the Panerai fun. Shalom

NB:
I do not have a 233 for sale nor own one at this point of writing. Also, I am not related to any seller who may be selling one.
I had owned one before though.
On the comments above, I mean no offence to other ristis who think otherwise.
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